In Summary
- In 2023/2024, the top 10 avocado-producing countries in Africa collectively produced over 1.3 million tonnes, with Kenya alone contributing approximately 542,278 tonnes, making it not only Africa's largest producer but also sixth globally.
- Countries like Ethiopia and Morocco are experiencing exponential growth. Ethiopia aims to expand avocado farmland fivefold by 2030, while Morocco’s 2024/2025 production exceeded 130,000 tonnes, earning $179 million in export revenue, up from $128 million in the previous year.
- Projections indicate a continent-wide production increase of at least 8–12% by the end of 2025, driven by expanded cultivation areas, improved yields, and rising global demand. Kenya is expected to rebound to approximately 585,000 tonnes in 2025 despite a temporary drought-induced dip in 2024, while exports from countries like Ethiopia and Cameroon are expected to double as processing capacity and market access improve.
Deep Dive!!
Across Africa, avocado cultivation has surged in recent years, emerging as a cornerstone of agricultural growth, economic diversification, and export ambition. Last year, the continent's leading producers collectively contributed hundreds of thousands of tonnes of avocado output, demonstrating vast geographic and institutional diversity in production capacity. While Kenya clearly commands the lion’s share, other nations such as Ethiopia, Morocco, South Africa, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Cameroon, the DRC, and Angola follow, each carving their niche and leveraging unique agro-climatic advantages. Together, these countries embody both the scale and dynamism of Africa’s avocado revolution.
The surge is underpinned by favourable global market trends. According to recent export data, avocado shipments from Africa reached an impressive 308,000 tonnes in 2024, with export value skyrocketing to nearly $687 million. The industry’s momentum reflects not just production expansion, but also growing integration into global supply chains, with European and Middle Eastern markets among key destinations.
However, this growth presents both opportunities and challenges. Spotlights on Kenya, Ethiopia, and Morocco reveal vastly different pathways, Kenya’s success is anchored on its cooperative-driven export systems and streamlined yields, for Ethiopia, the growth is as a result of government-backed scale-up, while Morocco’s rapid acreage expansion can be traced to water sustainability models. These diverse narratives underscore Africa’s avocado potential, while highlighting critical considerations such as climate resilience, infrastructure, and market volatility. Understanding the production footprint across these nations offers a rich lens into both the continent’s agricultural future and the changing contours of global avocado trade.
Here are the top ten avocado producing countries in Africa in 2025. Check them out!

10. Madagascar
Madagascar may occupy the tenth position among Africa’s avocado producers, but its journey reflects a noteworthy chapter in the continent’s evolving agricultural landscape. According to recent data, Madagascar produced an estimated 27,543 tonnes of avocados last year. While this figure pales in comparison to Kenya’s over half‑million tonnes, it nonetheless marks a steady rise in output for Madagascar, a country long reliant on subsistence crops like rice, vanilla, and spices.
A glimpse at historical trends underscores this trajectory. Helgi Library, drawing on FAOSTAT, records avocado output of 27,352 tonnes in 2022, marking a modest 0.57% year‑on‑year increase. That consistency suggests both stability and slow momentum, pointing to incremental improvements in cultivation rather than explosive growth. In a global context, this places Madagascar around 29th in ranking among approximately 62 countries monitored for avocado production.
Digging deeper into the roots of this performance, Madagascar’s production is shaped by structural constraints common to many smallholder‑dominated agricultural systems. As per national statistics, 78% of the population works in agriculture, primarily through fragmented small farms averaging just over 1 hectare each. These micro‑holdings,though vital to rural livelihoods, face significant challenges: degraded soils, erratic rainfall, limited irrigation, and underdeveloped infrastructure. Such conditions inevitably cap expansion potential, narrowing both production scale and efficiency despite the growing premium on avocados globally.
Looking forward into 2025 and beyond, Madagascar’s avocado sector shows potential for evolution, but only with targeted interventions. The nation’s rich agricultural heritage and rural workforce offer a foundation, yet translating this into higher output would demand investment in training, agronomy, irrigation infrastructure, and access to market channels. While top African producers like Kenya and Morocco have leveraged public‑private partnerships and export linkages to boost yields and revenues, Madagascar has yet to mobilize similar momentum. If it can build cooperatives, adopt improved planting material, and connect growers to external markets, stepping beyond its current rank of tenth is within reach, turning modest production into a more sustainable contributor to the continent’s avocado boom.
9. Angola
Angola’s avocado output, estimated at 58,231 tonnes last year, secured its spot as Africa’s ninth-largest producer, just behind the Democratic Republic of Congo (61,726 tonnes) and ahead of Madagascar (27,543 tonnes). While that figure pales next to African powerhouses, Kenya’s 542,278 tonnes and Ethiopia’s 167,557 tonnes, in absolute terms, it signifies a burgeoning industry with considerable potential rooted in the nation’s vast arable lands and favourable highland climates. The average yield of roughly 11,916 kg per hectare further underscores Angola’s efficiency per unit area, surpassed only slightly by Zimbabwe among African producers.
This production stems from a cultivated area of approximately 4.5 thousand hectares in 2023/2024, a slight contraction from 2022 but still part of a broader upward trend from previous years. That figure reflects both modest scale and steady improvement as Angola cautiously reactivates its agricultural sector following decades of civil war that confined much farming to subsistence level, despite the country’s immense uncultivated potential, nearly 5 million hectares of arable land, of which only a fraction is currently used.
While the raw numbers remain modest, Angola has vision and momentum. A landmark initiative termed the Avocado Cluster project has been rolled out in Huambo’s Central Plateau region, focusing on developing high-quality, export-ready avocado production. The cluster brings together three commercial farms working in partnership with family farmers, underpinned by support from ARCCLA, AAPA, and international partners such as Westfalia and Flying Swans. As ARCCLA chairman Catarino Fontes Pereira put it, this aggregation and certification effort has the potential to unlock “another source of foreign currency” by aligning local production with rigorous European standards.
Supporting schemes like the Angolan Sustainable Avocado (ASA) cluster indicate growing institutional confidence. With a €619,244 budget, this Netherlands-backed project is laying groundwork through a proof-of-concept involving nucleus and smallholder farms, including training in planting, certification standards, and cold-chain logistics to Rotterdam. Echoing that drive, in June 2025 the Auto Tombola farm in Huíla’s Caconda area announced its readiness to export its “Avocado Hass” variety to markets in South Africa, Canada, and China, supported by 100 hectares nearing production and a workforce of 300–400 young employees. Together, these initiatives reveal Angola’s leap from subsistence agriculture toward commercial avocado export, a transformation aligning with its broader economic diversification and infrastructure rehabilitation goals.

8. Democratic Republic of Congo
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) produced around 61,726 tonnes of avocados in 2023, securing the 8th rank among Africa's top producers. This figure represents a modest decline from the 62,035 tonnes recorded in 2022, as noted in FAOSTAT data via Helgi Library. Though far smaller than frontrunners like Kenya (542,278 t) or Ethiopia (167,557 t), the DRC’s avocado output holds significance, particularly given its vast but underutilized agricultural landscape and the sheer scale of its arable potential.
The country’s agricultural promise is staggering with Reddit-sourced data suggesting the DRC has roughly 80 million hectares of arable land, yet only about 10% is under cultivation. With agriculture accounting for roughly 18% of GDP and over 60% of new jobs, the sector’s expansion is vital for socioeconomic development. In the context of avocados, this translated production implies a nascent yet promising sector, with potential space for growth in both planted area and yield per hectare.
Despite this untapped potential, data on yield efficiency, tonnes per hectare for the DRC remains scarce in public sources. Still, comparing to other African producers, the DRC falls behind countries like Zimbabwe (39,504 kg/ha) and Kenya (16,222 kg/ha). This suggests significant room for agronomic improvements. Intensification through better varieties, improved farm practices, and post-harvest handling could boost per-hectare productivity critical measures for a country with limited cultivation footprint but vast dormant capacity.
Strategically, the DRC stands at a crossroads, its avocado production is a small slice of Africa's 1.7 million tonnes annual output. Yet the global avocado market is projected to reach $26 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 7.3%. With suitable equatorial and tropical climates, the DRC, if endowed with infrastructure investment, credit access, and extension services could be pulled into the supply chain for high-demand markets such as Europe and Asia. Cultivating cooperatives, building cold chains, and training smallholder farmers could help the DRC raise avocado output sustainably and profitably.
7. Cameroon
Cameroon’s avocado sector produced around 77,390 tonnes in 2023, ranking it seventh among Africa’s leading producers, behind Zimbabwe (94,334 tonnes) and ahead of the Democratic Republic of Congo (61,726 tonnes). While this total lags behind powerhouse producers like Kenya (542,278 tonnes), it reflects a consistent and notable presence in the continental avocado landscape. Indeed, Helgi Library records a slightly lower figure of 74,325 tonnes in 2022, indicating a modest but stable increase into 2023.
Cameroon’s avocado cultivation spans approximately 16,761 hectares, making it a significant landholder among African producers, though still behind Kenya and Ethiopia. Yield performance is relatively solid: in 2022, the country achieved about 4,390 kg per hectare (i.e. 43,905 hg/hectares). This positions Cameroon in a middle tier of productivity, it trails behind the likes of Zimbabwe (39,504 kg/hectares) and Kenya (16,222 kg/hectares), but presents room for agronomic improvement.
A key driver behind Cameroon’s avocado potential lies in its rich genetic diversity, especially in highland regions such as Bamboutos. A 2025 BMC Plant Biology study captured significant phenotypic variation across 206 genotypes from multiple altitude ranges, with marked diversity in fruit shape, skin colour, seed shape, tree form, and flesh characteristics. The researchers highlighted that “significant morphological variations combined with high diversity observed in the avocado genotypes” could support germplasm management and the development of improved cultivars, critical for yield enhancement and disease resilience.
However, Cameroon’s broader agricultural context presents structural constraints. Agriculture accounts for 17–18% of GDP and employs around 60–62% of the population, yet only about 15–16% of land is arable, often fragmented and hindered by limited infrastructure (e.g., poor road connectivity to markets). Avocado cultivation, primarily on smallholder farms, remains localized, though its growth as a cash crop is encouraging. With enhanced infrastructure, cooperative models, and extension services, Cameroon could leverage its germplasm diversity to increase both yield and export potential.

6. Zimbabwe
According to Kenya’s Data & Statistics, Zimbabwe produced approximately 91,017 tonnes of avocados in 2023/2024, placing it solidly as the sixth-largest producer in Africa, at least as per the dataset used in our ranking framework. However, more recent insights from Zimbabwe’s own Horticultural Development Council (HDC) reflect a dramatic surge, with production soaring to 125,028 tonnes in the 2023/24 season, up 164% from 47,370 tonnes five years earlier. This rapid increase reflects Zimbabwe’s aggressive strategy of combining public investment with private-sector partnerships. As the HDC astutely captured on social media: “After a tough dry season, nothing says resilience like Zimbabwean avocados being packed for export. Zimbabwe is now Africa's 5th largest avocado producer… Let's give them the policy support they need to go even further.”
The expansion in Zimbabwe’s avocado sector isn’t just in output, but also in planted hectares. The Crops, Livestock and Fisheries Assessment (CLAFA 2) documents a leap from 1,579 hectares in 2017/2018 to 2,745 hectares in 2024/25, a substantial 74% increase. Yield per hectare improved equally impressively from 30 tonnes to 46 tonnes over the same period, marking a 53% boost in productivity. This means Zimbabwe's avocado farming is scaling not just in size, but in efficiency, growing smarter as well as larger. Indeed, such yield performance positions Zimbabwe as one of the fastest-improving producers on the continent.
A milestone for the sector came with the signing of a phytosanitary export protocol with China in 2024, a breakthrough enabling Zimbabwean avocados to enter one of the world’s largest markets. As HDC CEO Linda Nielsen emphasized, this unlocks significant potential: “The signing of this protocol delivers a significant opportunity for Zimbabwe to take advantage of the vast Chinese market. This will require strategic intent to meet the strict requirements of the Chinese market.” This move comes as the government pilots two trial containers to China and simultaneously explores access to the Indian market for avocados, citrus, and blueberries. These export pathways are vital; while export volume surged by 128% (from about 2.74 million kg in 2017 to over 6.25 million kg in 2024), export earnings rose more modestly to 24%, from US$1.69 million to US$2.09 million. The gap between volume growth and modest revenue gains underscores a need for greater value addition and improved pricing strategies.
Despite remarkable momentum, Zimbabwe’s avocado sector faces structural hurdles. Production is impacted by the biannual cropping cycle and increasingly dry conditions, both of which portend a tougher 2025 season. Additionally, only about 60% of harvests meet export quality standards, leaving significant room for local processing and value-addition strategies. Achieving the country's ambitious goal of expanding avocado hectarage from 1,500 hectares to 4,000 hectares by 2030, and transforming horticulture into a billion-dollar industry, will require sustained policy backing, investment in cold-chain logistics, and training for farmers to meet stringent export standards. As explained by regional managers and stakeholders, forging clusters and cooperatives, improving standards, and enabling smallholders to tap into export markets will be crucial to turning Zimbabwe's avocado prospects into tangible economic impact.
5. Malawi
In 2023, Malawi ranked fifth among the top avocado-producing countries in Africa, with an estimated production of approximately 94,334 tonnes, trailing behind South Africa, Morocco, Ethiopia, and Kenya, but ahead of Zimbabwe and Cameroon in the continental rankings. While Helgi Library reports a close figure of 94,096 tonnes in 2022, representing a 0.27% year-on-year increase, this consistency underlines Malawi’s stable performance amid changing regional dynamics. Historically, the country's highest recorded output was 97,358 tonnes in 2017, indicating room for rekindling past growth momentum long-term.
Malawi not only holds its own in volume but also in harvested area. In 2023, Malawi’s harvested area reached 17,967 hectares, placing it behind Kenya, Ethiopia, and South Africa, yet ahead of Cameroon and the DRC. This extensive acreage, paired with production figures, suggests a modest yield per hectare. While exact yield data for Malawi isn’t directly specified, extrapolating from Kenya’s yield of 16,222 kg/hectare and Zimbabwe’s 39,504 kg/hectare, it’s likely that Malawi’s per-hectare productivity is lower, highlighting an opportunity for enhanced agronomic investment.
Malawi’s avocado production operates within an agriculture-driven economy where over 80% of the population subsists on farming, even though agriculture contributes just approximately 27% of GDP. Recognizing the risks of overdependence, the government has sought to diversify agriculture, long focused on export staples like tobacco, tea, and sugar, through interventions like input subsidies (e.g., FISP and Affordable Inputs Program), research grants, and tax support for agri-business innovation. Such efforts suggest that avocados, with their rise in regional demand, could increasingly be integrated into national agricultural policy, though challenges persist.
Malawi’s avocado ambitions are tempered by structural and environmental challenges. The country is highly vulnerable to climate shocks, including unpredictable rainfall, droughts, and flooding, often undermining agricultural gains. Additionally, infrastructure limitations and a relatively undertrained workforce complicate efforts to scale productivity and facilitate exports. However, given Malawi’s heavy investment in agriculture, strategic prioritization of the avocado sector, through improved seed varieties, irrigation systems, farmer training, value addition, and export frameworks, could raise yield, stabilize supply, and unlock both regional and global market opportunities.
Malawi’s position as the fifth-largest avocado producer in Africa (at approximately 94,334 tonnes in 2023/2024) reflects a solid foundation. Yet compared to leading producers, its yield efficiency and scale lag behind. By anchoring avocados within broader diversification efforts and climate resilience strategies, and investing in agronomic and infrastructural enhancements, Malawi has the potential to elevate its avocado sector into a stronger economic and export contributor.

4. South Africa
In 2023, South Africa produced an estimated 108,880 tonnes of avocados, solidifying its position among Africa’s leading producers. While this figure trails Kenya and Morocco, South Africa distinguishes itself with one of the continent’s most commercially mature avocado industries. Its production is heavily geared toward exports: industry data shows that nearly 45% of output is shipped internationally, primarily to Europe and the UK, while about 10% undergoes domestic processing into oil or purée.
South Africa has built its reputation on delivering high‑quality Hass and related varieties. Roughly 80% of nurseries produce dark‑skinned Hass cultivars, with the remainder comprising green‑skinned types like Fuerte and Pinkerton. The sector's commitment to quality is backed by rigorous standards: over 95% of growers hold GlobalGAP certification, and many also maintain HACCP, Fairtrade, LEAF, or Tesco Nature’s Choice accreditation. Strong logistical systems, including refrigerated containers, controlled atmosphere shipping, and strict cold-chain protocols from packhouse to port, ensure that fruit retains peak freshness during export voyages, such as the 25-day journey to Europe.
Recently, South Africa has made considerable headway into Asia. It gained phytosanitary approval to export avocados to China, Japan, and India, positioning itself among the few African suppliers penetrating these markets. The first shipment of Hass avocados to Japan occurred in 2024 following a rigorous 19-day cold treatment protocol. Similarly, exports to China began in October 2024 with a 21‑ton container, made possible by a landmark agreement finalized in August 2023, and leveraged South Africa’s shorter transit times and early-season supply advantage over South American competitors. While this segment remains modest in volume currently, industry leaders expect substantial expansion in 2025 and beyond.
South Africa’s avocado industry operates amid shifting regional dynamics. Recent developments show Morocco surpassing South Africa as Africa’s second-largest avocado exporter, sending around 100,000 tonnes in 2024/2025, while South African exports increased by just 9%. Nevertheless, South Africa maintains a strategic edge through its strong institutional infrastructure, advanced R&D, and robust export partnerships. As Minister Steenhuisen emphasized, “the successful export… is a testament to the hard work, innovation, and strategic foresight within our avocado industry.” By reinforcing ties to emerging markets in Asia while sustaining its European stronghold, South Africa stands ready to enhance its global avocado footprint.
South Africa’s avocado sector is defined by high production (approximately108,880 tonnes in 2023/2024), strong export orientation, premium quality standards, and advanced logistics. Its expansion into Asian markets, including China, Japan, and India, marks a strategic evolution, even as competitive pressures rise in the continent. Sustaining this momentum will require continuous quality focus, adaptive market strategies, and infrastructural agility to remain competitive in the global avocado arena.
3. Morocco
In 2023, Morocco produced around 118,666 tonnes of avocados, ranking it third in Africa behind Kenya and Ethiopia. The following season, a breakout year, Morocco exceeded 130,000 tonnes, accompanied by a leap in export revenues reaching approximately $179 million. This dramatic rise underscores a robust combination of increased acreage, yield improvements, and strategic positioning in export markets.
A major driver of this growth has been the significant expansion of avocado plantations, from about 4,000 hectares in 2018 to 12,000 hectares by 2023/2024, a threefold increase. Coupled with favorable weather conditions in regions like Gharb, this translated into soaring production levels. The export story is equally compelling: Moroccan shipments jumped from 60,000 tonnes in 2023/24 to over 100,000 tonnes in 2024/2025, surpassing South Africa to become the continent’s second-largest avocado exporter.
Morocco’s export strategy remains euro-centric, over 80% of avocado exports head to Spain, France, and the Netherlands. Yet recent seasons have seen accelerated diversification: exports to Switzerland rose 1.5×, Belgium 6×, and Portugal an astonishing 11×; new markets opened in Canada, Turkey, Poland, Ukraine, Greece, Malaysia, and Oman. This outreach, bolstered by proximity to European markets, competitive transit times, and duty-free EU agreements, cements Morocco’s logistical and trade advantage.
Despite record-breaking seasons, Morocco’s avocado boom has exposed sector fragilities. Prices fell by up to 35% during 2024/25 due to oversupply and global competition, leaving a portion of the crop unharvested as growers hedged for better returns. Environmental concerns loom large, avocado cultivation in a country facing persistent drought and water shortages raises sustainability questions, especially as the crop is highly water-intensive. As the Moroccan Avocado Association emphasized, the industry must now shift toward smarter growth: better production planning, quality-focused export strategies, and responsible resource use are critical for ensuring long-term viability.
Morocco’s ascent, producing approximately118,666 tonnes in 2023/2024 and over 130,000 tonnes in 2024/2025 with $179 million in export revenue, reflects explosive momentum. Powered by expanded acreage, market reach, and a strategic export orientation, Morocco outpaced competitors and diversified into new territories. However, falling prices, supply gluts, and environmental pressures call for a strategic shift toward sustainable production, improved market balance, and long-term resilience.

2. Ethiopia
In 2023, Ethiopia produced approximately 167,557 tonnes of avocados, placing it firmly in the second rank on the continent behind Kenya. This production reflects vast cultivated areas, about 30,000 hectares, concentrated especially in Oromia State. Remarkably, the government has set ambitious targets; expanding avocado farmland to 150,000 hectares by 2030, a fivefold increase from current levels, facilitated by the national Green Legacy Initiative, which has already produced 1.8 million high-yield avocado seedlings in 2025.
Ethiopia’s avocado sector benefits from strong institutional backing and international collaboration. The Green Legacy Initiative, originally focused on reforestation and food security, is now pivoting toward avocado propagation and farmer support, underscoring avocados as a strategic horticultural priority. Moreover, partnerships with bodies like the Ministry of Agriculture, EHPEA (Ethiopian Horticulture Producers Exporters Association), and platforms like HortiFlora Expo 2025 are shaping investment trends. At the expo, a spokesperson noted: “We have seen a remarkable increase in avocado production, but we need to ensure quality control measures are in place to meet global standards,” highlighting the emphasis on global compliance and export readiness.
Beyond raw produce growth, Ethiopia is building processing capabilities. Notably, two private avocado-oil facilities are now operational Sunvado, the first organic-driven facility, and YBM, established in Yirgalem Agro-processing Park with a $2.1 million investment. YBM processes up to 5 tons per hour, sources produce from over 40,000 smallholders across 21 cooperatives, and exports crude and extra-virgin avocado oil to Europe, Asia, and the UAE. The facility has created 50 permanent and 150 temporary jobs, illustrating avocado’s expanding value-addition role.
While avocado exports remain modest, they're growing swiftly. In 2023, Ethiopia exported around 3,000 tonnes, earning $800,000, a remarkable growth considering prior baselines. Expanding global interest is reflected in rising export values: for instance, in the UAE, Ethiopian avocados earned $71,950 in 2023 versus just $60 in 2013; in Saudi Arabia, export values climbed to $73,280 in 2023 from only $31,200 in 2017. Despite this momentum, challenges persist, smallholder farmers face seedling quality issues, storage deficits, and market access constraints. The Green Gold Project in the Wolaita region tackles these structural gaps by introducing hybrid avocado-mango varieties, climate-smart training, and supply chain coordination, driving both yield gains and socio-economic resilience. As one participant said: “Now I think about how to grow more, earn more, and help others do the same.”
Ethiopia ranked second in Africa, with approximately 167,557 tonnes of avocado production in 2023, driven by concentrated efforts in Oromia and government-spearheaded expansion. The Green Legacy Initiative, international partnerships, and horticultural policies underscore its strategic importance. Investment in processing, including two new oil extraction plants, adds value, while export markets are gaining traction. Yet, scaling sustainably will depend on strengthening quality systems, logistical infrastructure, and smallholder integration to turn Ethiopia’s avocado potential into sustained growth.
1. Kenya
In 2023/2024, Kenya produced approximately 542,278 tonnes of avocados, making it the continent’s leading producer by a significant margin. Globally, Kenya ranks sixth, trailing giants like Mexico, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, Peru, and Indonesia. This achievement reflects a remarkable transformation, from 176,000 tonnes in 2016 to over half a million tonnes in 2023/2024, as the country doubled its plantation area between 2018 and 2024, driven by farmer incentives, high-value returns, and favorable highland agro-climates.
Kenya’s avocado farming footprint is expansive: harvested area grew to 33,428 hectares in 2023/2024. The country achieved a yield of 16,222 kg/hectare, placing it second in yield efficiency in Africa, behind only Zimbabwe. Over 70% of Kenya’s avocado growers are smallholders, many organized into cooperatives, which have enabled them to benefit from export opportunities and economies of scale. For example, Murang’a County alone accounted for nearly 25% of national avocado value, producing 200,991 tonnes in 2023/2024.
Kenya's avocado exports were robust in the 2023/2024 season, with 114,073 tonnes exported, an increase of nearly 10% from 2022/2023, and accounting for about 24% of the country's horticultural export volume. In 2024, despite production slipping to 562,000 tonnes due to drought, export earnings rose 11% to $159 million. The country has been expanding its market reach: avocado exports to China surged tenfold (from around 444 tonnes in 2022 to over 4,324 tonnes in 2023/2024). Kenya supplies its avocados across Europe (notably the Netherlands, France, Germany), the Middle East, and is forging ties with Asia, boosting strategic resilience.
Despite these strides, Kenya faces quality assurance and infrastructural challenges. Export quality has been affected by immature harvesting and long transit times, including delays due to Red Sea shipping disruptions, leading to more over‑ripe fruit and growing competition from producers such as Mexico and Peru. To address this, authorities are considering 100% consignment testing, although concerns remain about regulatory capacity. Still, projections for 2025 are optimistic: production is expected to rebound to 585,000 tonnes, driven by improved rainfall, planting, and yield gains; simultaneously, the planted area may rise to 34,000 hectares, and export volumes are projected to reach 135,000 tonnes. Strategic investments in quality control, infrastructure, and diversification, aligned with Kenya's high-growth trajectory, could further strengthen its leadership in the global avocado market.
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